Capacity Estimation of a MiniHydro Plant Based on Time Series Forecasting

Rafael Peña, Aurelio Medina, Olimpo Anaya-Lara y James R. McDonald.
ELSEVIER - Renewable Energy, volumen 34, número 5, páginas 1204-1209, Mayo 2009. ISSN: 0960-1481, DOI:10.1016/j.renene.2008.10.011, Factor de impacto: 2.978, 2009.


A procedure to estimate the capacity of minihydro plants based on water flow time series forecasting is presented. First, the classic method used for this purpose is introduced and then a set of methodologies to assess the feasibility of minihydro generation and to determine system capacity based on time series forecast is described. The water flow time series is processed to determine the theoretical power generation and to assess if a minihydro plant can be installed. Finally the characteristics of each of the electro-mechanical components for the proposed minihydro plant are selected.